PAOLO Di Canio believes Swindon have a 90 per-cent chance of winning at Colchester tomorrow if his players perform the way he knows they can.

Town travel to the Weston Homes Community Stadium to face a side who have only won once in their last 11 games, and have lost their last six matches in League One including a 3-1 Boxing Day defeat at home to Brentford.

A free-kick goal from former Town full-back Michael Rose secured a 1-0 victory for the Essex side at the County Ground in October, but Di Canio is confident the Robins will put the record straight when the two teams meet tomorrow.

“We know what has happened with them, and we were in a day where we created three or four clear chances but we didn’t play our football that day,” he said.

“We gave away one silly free-kick from 25-yards and Rose punished us and we lost 1-0.

“But we have improved a lot since that day and we have more enthusiasm, determination and quality, and we will have four or five different players than when we played against them.

“It depends how we are going to approach the game, because if we underestimate them for a bit we are going to make a disaster and that can reflect on us in the future.

“But we are going to play like we know we can do, no problem, and it is clear if we play in the future like the last three or four games it will not be a problem.

“If we behave well we will have a 90 per cent chance to win, if not maybe a draw, which is better than to lose.

“In the last three days we trained very hard, but more important for me was to see them go through the small details with real attention and they did not disappoint me.”

Despite their dismal recent run, Di Canio has been impressed with the way new Colchester boss Joe Dunne has gone about his work, and insisted they have a number of players capable of causing problems for his side.

“We have to emphasise their moment, and in their team they have people like Clinton Morrison who can cause problems, or maybe in 10 minutes they can put their experience to cause problems,” he said.

“We can be in a trap and they can be a big problem because they give the chance to two young guys and one scored straight away with a very good goal.

“They have a new player and Kem Izzet came back, but the manager is strong and he didn’t give up about his idea to play good football.

“Even if he is in a bad moment he tries to play football, but he made the decision to push out three or four players which will pay for him in the future.

“We have to be really careful and we have to take this chance because if we don’t it is difficult to think for the top.”